Five year prediction of Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropical Atlantic: a comparison of simple statistical methods

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dc.creatorLaepple, Thomas
dc.creatorJewson, Stephen
dc.creatorMeagher, Jonathan
dc.creatorO'Shay, Adam
dc.creatorPenzer, Jeremy
dc.date2007-01-15
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-07T07:41:05Z
dc.date.available2026-07-07T07:41:05Z
dc.descriptionWe are developing schemes that predict future hurricane numbers by first predicting future sea surface temperatures (SSTs), and then apply the observed statistical relationship between SST and hurricane numbers. As part of this overall goal, in this study we compare the historical performance of three simple statistical methods for making five-year SST forecasts. We also present SST forecasts for 2006-2010 using these methods and compare them to forecasts made from two structural time series models.
dc.identifierhttps://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0701162
dc.identifierhttp://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0701162
dc.identifier.urihttp://salesiana.dossiersoluciones.com/handle/123456789/121978
dc.subjectAtmospheric and Oceanic Physics
dc.titleFive year prediction of Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropical Atlantic: a comparison of simple statistical methods
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