Scaling law for seismic hazard after a main shock

dc.creatorLise, Stefano
dc.creatorPaczuski, Maya
dc.creatorStella, Attilio
dc.date2004-03-01
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-07T02:56:44Z
dc.date.available2026-07-07T02:56:44Z
dc.descriptionAfter a large earthquake, the likelihood of successive strong aftershocks needs to be estimated. Exploiting similarities with critical phenomena, we introduce a scaling law for the decay in time following a main shock of the expected number of aftershocks greater than a certain magnitude. Empirical results that support our scaling hypothesis are obtained from analyzing the record of earthquakes in California. The proposed form unifies the well-known Omori and Gutenberg-Richter laws of seismicity, together with other phenomenological observations. Our results substantially modify presently employed estimates and may lead to an improved assessment of seismic hazard after a large earthquake.}
dc.description4 pages with 3 figures, submitted
dc.identifierhttps://arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0403037
dc.identifierhttp://arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0403037
dc.identifier.urihttp://salesiana.dossiersoluciones.com/handle/123456789/23441
dc.subjectOther Condensed Matter
dc.subjectGeophysics
dc.titleScaling law for seismic hazard after a main shock
dc.typetext

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