An objective change-point analysis of historical Atlantic hurricane numbers

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dc.creatorJewson, Stephen
dc.creatorPenzer, Jeremy
dc.date2006-11-07
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-07T07:33:45Z
dc.date.available2026-07-07T07:33:45Z
dc.descriptionWe perform an objective change-point analysis on 106 years of historical hurricane number data. The algorithm we use looks at all possible combinations of change-points and compares them in terms of the variances of the differences between real and modelled numbers. Overfitting is avoided by using cross-validation. We identify four change-points, and show that the presence of temporal structure in the hurricane number time series is highly statistically significant.
dc.identifierhttps://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0611071
dc.identifierhttp://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0611071
dc.identifier.urihttp://salesiana.dossiersoluciones.com/handle/123456789/119567
dc.subjectAtmospheric and Oceanic Physics
dc.titleAn objective change-point analysis of historical Atlantic hurricane numbers
dc.typetext

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