Predicting hurricane numbers from Sea Surface Temperature: closed form expressions for the mean, variance and standard error of the number of hurricanes

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dc.creatorJewson, Stephen
dc.date2007-01-15
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-07T07:41:06Z
dc.date.available2026-07-07T07:41:06Z
dc.descriptionOne way to predict hurricane numbers would be to predict sea surface temperature, and then predict hurricane numbers as a function of the predicted sea surface temperature. For certain parametric models for sea surface temperature and the relationship between sea surface temperature and hurricane numbers, closed-form solutions exist for the mean and the variance of the number of predicted hurricanes, and for the standard error on the mean. We derive a number of such expressions.
dc.identifierhttps://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0701167
dc.identifierhttp://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0701167
dc.identifier.urihttp://salesiana.dossiersoluciones.com/handle/123456789/121981
dc.subjectAtmospheric and Oceanic Physics
dc.titlePredicting hurricane numbers from Sea Surface Temperature: closed form expressions for the mean, variance and standard error of the number of hurricanes
dc.typetext

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