Statistical modelling of tropical cyclone tracks: a semi-parametric model for the mean trajectory
| dc.creator | Hall, Tim | |
| dc.creator | Jewson, Stephen | |
| dc.date | 2005-03-31 | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2026-07-07T05:54:31Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2026-07-07T05:54:31Z | |
| dc.description | We present a statistical model for the unconditional mean tracks of hurricanes. Our model is a semi-parametric scheme that averages together observed hurricane displacements. It has a single parameter that defines the averaging length scale, and we derive the optimum value for this parameter using a jackknife. The main purpose of this model is as a starting point for developing a statistical model of hurricanes for use in the estimation of the wind, rainfall and flooding risks. The model also acts as an optimal filtering tool for estimating mean hurricane tracks. | |
| dc.identifier | https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0503231 | |
| dc.identifier | http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0503231 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://salesiana.dossiersoluciones.com/handle/123456789/86989 | |
| dc.subject | Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics | |
| dc.title | Statistical modelling of tropical cyclone tracks: a semi-parametric model for the mean trajectory | |
| dc.type | text |