Five year ahead prediction of Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropical Atlantic: a comparison between IPCC climate models and simple statistical methods

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dc.creatorLaepple, Thomas
dc.creatorJewson, Stephen
dc.date2007-01-15
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-07T07:41:06Z
dc.date.available2026-07-07T07:41:06Z
dc.descriptionThere is a clear positive correlation between boreal summer tropical Atlantic sea-surface temperature and annual hurricane numbers. This motivates the idea of trying to predict the sea-surface temperature in order to be able to predict future hurricane activity. In previous work we have used simple statistical methods to make 5 year predictions of tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures for this purpose. We now compare these statistical SST predictions with SST predictions made by an ensemble mean of IPCC climate models.
dc.identifierhttps://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0701165
dc.identifierhttp://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0701165
dc.identifier.urihttp://salesiana.dossiersoluciones.com/handle/123456789/121980
dc.subjectAtmospheric and Oceanic Physics
dc.titleFive year ahead prediction of Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropical Atlantic: a comparison between IPCC climate models and simple statistical methods
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