Blackouts, risk, and fat-tailed distributions
| dc.creator | Weron, Rafal | |
| dc.creator | Simonsen, Ingve | |
| dc.date | 2005-10-10 | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2026-07-07T06:48:23Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2026-07-07T06:48:23Z | |
| dc.description | We analyze a 19-year time series of North American electric power transmission system blackouts. Contrary to previously reported results we find a fatter than exponential decay in the distribution of inter-occurrence times and evidence of seasonal dependence in the number of events. Our findings question the use of self-organized criticality, and in particular the sandpile model, as a paradigm of blackout dynamics in power transmission systems. Hopefully, though, they will provide guidelines to more accurate models for evaluation of blackout risk. | |
| dc.description | 5 pages, 3 figures, to appear in: H. Takayasu (ed.), Proceedings of the 3rd Nikkei Econophysics Symposium, Springer-Tokyo, 2005/2006 | |
| dc.identifier | https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0510077 | |
| dc.identifier | http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0510077 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://salesiana.dossiersoluciones.com/handle/123456789/103978 | |
| dc.subject | Physics and Society | |
| dc.title | Blackouts, risk, and fat-tailed distributions | |
| dc.type | text |