On the Consistency of the Deterministic Local Volatility Function Model ('implied tree')

dc.creatorStrobl, Karl
dc.date2000-01-10
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-07T12:10:55Z
dc.date.available2026-07-07T12:10:55Z
dc.descriptionWe show that the frequent claim that the implied tree prices exotic options consistently with the market is untrue if the local volatilities are subject to change and the market is arbitrage-free. In the process, we analyse -- in the most general context -- the impact of stochastic variables on the P&L of a hedged portfolio, and we conclude that no model can a priori be expected to price all exotics in line with the vanilla options market. Calibration of an assumed underlying process from vanilla options alone must not be overly restrictive, yet still unique, and relevant to all exotic options of interest. For the implied tree we show that the calibration to real-world prices allows us to only price vanilla options themselves correctly. This is usually attributed to the incompleteness of the market under traditional stochastic (local) volatility models. We show that some `weakly' stochastic volatility models without quadratic variation of the volatilities avoid the incompleteness problems, but they introduce arbitrage. More generally, we find that any stochastic tradable either has quadratic variation -- and therefore a $\Ga$-like P&L on instruments with non-linear exposure to that asset -- or it introduces arbitrage opportunities.
dc.descriptionLaTeX, 28 pages, no figures. submitted to Intl. J. of Theor. and Appl. Finance
dc.identifierhttps://arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0001117
dc.identifierhttp://arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0001117
dc.identifier.urihttp://salesiana.dossiersoluciones.com/handle/123456789/210069
dc.subjectStatistical Mechanics
dc.subjectAnalysis of PDEs
dc.subjectData Analysis, Statistics and Probability
dc.subjectStatistical Finance
dc.titleOn the Consistency of the Deterministic Local Volatility Function Model ('implied tree')
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