The Assessment and Calibration of Ensemble Seasonal Forecasts of Equatorial Pacific Ocean Temperature and the Predictability of Uncertainty

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dc.creatorJewson, Stephen
dc.creatorDoblas-Reyes, Francisco
dc.creatorHagedorn, Renate
dc.date2003-08-16
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-07T05:49:53Z
dc.date.available2026-07-07T05:49:53Z
dc.descriptionWe evaluate the performance of two 44 year ensemble seasonal hindcast time series for the Nino3 index produced as part of the DEMETER project. We show that the ensemble mean carries useful information out to six months. The ensemble spread, however, only carries useful information out to four months in one of the models, and two months in the other.
dc.descriptionSubmitted to ASL
dc.identifierhttps://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0308065
dc.identifierhttp://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0308065
dc.identifier.urihttp://salesiana.dossiersoluciones.com/handle/123456789/85545
dc.subjectAtmospheric and Oceanic Physics
dc.titleThe Assessment and Calibration of Ensemble Seasonal Forecasts of Equatorial Pacific Ocean Temperature and the Predictability of Uncertainty
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