A random tunnel number one 3-manifold does not fiber over the circle

dc.creatorDunfield, Nathan M
dc.creatorThurston, Dylan P
dc.date2005-10-06
dc.date2009-03-03
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-07T12:48:15Z
dc.date.available2026-07-07T12:48:15Z
dc.descriptionWe address the question: how common is it for a 3-manifold to fiber over the circle? One motivation for considering this is to give insight into the fairly inscrutable Virtual Fibration Conjecture. For the special class of 3-manifolds with tunnel number one, we provide compelling theoretical and experimental evidence that fibering is a very rare property. Indeed, in various precise senses it happens with probability 0. Our main theorem is that this is true for a measured lamination model of random tunnel number one 3-manifolds. The first ingredient is an algorithm of K Brown which can decide if a given tunnel number one 3-manifold fibers over the circle. Following the lead of Agol, Hass and W Thurston, we implement Brown's algorithm very efficiently by working in the context of train tracks/interval exchanges. To analyze the resulting algorithm, we generalize work of Kerckhoff to understand the dynamics of splitting sequences of complete genus 2 interval exchanges. Combining all of this with a "magic splitting sequence" and work of Mirzakhani proves the main theorem. The 3-manifold situation contrasts markedly with random 2-generator 1-relator groups; in particular, we show that such groups "fiber" with probability strictly between 0 and 1.
dc.descriptionThis is the version published by Geometry & Topology on 15 December 2006
dc.identifierhttps://arxiv.org/abs/math/0510129
dc.identifierhttp://arxiv.org/abs/math/0510129
dc.identifierGeom. Topol. 10 (2006) 2431-2499
dc.identifierdoi:10.2140/gt.2006.10.2431
dc.identifier.urihttp://salesiana.dossiersoluciones.com/handle/123456789/221994
dc.subjectGeometric Topology
dc.subject57R22, 20F05, 57N10
dc.titleA random tunnel number one 3-manifold does not fiber over the circle
dc.typetext

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