Optimal Proton Trapping in a Neutron Lifetime Experiment

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In a neutron lifetime experiment conducted at the National Institute of Standards and Technology, protons produced by neutron decay events are confined in a Penning trap. In each run of the experiment, there is a trapping stage of duration $τ$. After the trapping stage, protons are purged from the trap. A proton detector provides incomplete information because it goes dead after detecting the first of any purged protons. Further, there is a dead time $δ$ between the end of the trapping stage in one run and the beginning of the next trapping stage in the next run. Based on the fraction of runs where a proton is detected, I estimate the trapping rate $λ$ by the method of maximum likelihood. I show that the expected value of the maximum likelihood estimate is infinite. To obtain a maximum likelihood estimate with a finite expected value and a well-defined and finite variance, I restrict attention to a subsample of all realizations of the data. This subsample excludes an exceedingly rare realization that yields an infinite-valued estimate of $λ$. I present asymptotically valid formulas for the bias, root-mean-square prediction error, and standard deviation of the maximum likelihood estimate of $λ$ for this subsample. Based on nominal values of $λ$ and the dead time $δ$, I determine the optimal duration of the trapping stage $τ$ by minimizing the root-mean-square prediction error of the estimate.
21 pages, 4 figures This is a revised version of "Optimal Proton Trapping". Based on a review, some aspects of the techical argument were refined

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