The Phase Dynamics of Earthquakes: Implications for Forecasting in Southern California

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dc.creatorTiampo, Kristy F.
dc.creatorRundle, John B.
dc.creatorMcGinnis, Seth
dc.creatorGross, Susanna
dc.creatorKlein, William
dc.date2001-02-02
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-07T02:40:16Z
dc.date.available2026-07-07T02:40:16Z
dc.descriptionWe analyze the space-time patterns of earthquake occurrence in southern California using a new method that treats earthquakes as a phase dynamical system. The system state vector is used to obtain a probability measure for current and future earthquake occurrence. Thousands of statistical tests indicate the method has considerable forecast skill. We emphasize that the method is not a model, and there are no unconstrained or free parameters to be determined by fits to training data sets.
dc.descriptionemail: kristy@fractal.colorado.edu
dc.identifierhttps://arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0102032
dc.identifierhttp://arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0102032
dc.identifier.urihttp://salesiana.dossiersoluciones.com/handle/123456789/17320
dc.subjectStatistical Mechanics
dc.titleThe Phase Dynamics of Earthquakes: Implications for Forecasting in Southern California
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