Change-point detection in the historical hurricane number time-series: why can't we detect change-points at US landfall?

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dc.creatorNzerem, Kechi
dc.creatorJewson, Stephen
dc.creatorLaepple, Thomas
dc.date2006-11-10
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-07T07:33:46Z
dc.date.available2026-07-07T07:33:46Z
dc.descriptionThe time series of the number of hurricanes per year in the Atlantic basin shows a clear change of level between 1994 and 1995. The time series of the number of hurricanes that make landfall in the US, however, does not show the same obvious change of level. Prima-facie this seems rather surprising, given that the landfalling hurricanes are a subset of the basin hurricanes. We investigate whether it really should be considered surprising or whether there is a simple statistical explanation for the disappearance of this change-point at landfall.
dc.identifierhttps://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0611107
dc.identifierhttp://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0611107
dc.identifier.urihttp://salesiana.dossiersoluciones.com/handle/123456789/119577
dc.subjectAtmospheric and Oceanic Physics
dc.titleChange-point detection in the historical hurricane number time-series: why can't we detect change-points at US landfall?
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