Comparing the ensemble mean and the ensemble standard deviation as inputs for probabilistic medium-range temperature forecasts

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dc.creatorJewson, Stephen
dc.date2003-10-13
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-07T05:50:13Z
dc.date.available2026-07-07T05:50:13Z
dc.descriptionWe ask the following question: what are the relative contributions of the ensemble mean and the ensemble standard deviation to the skill of a site-specific probabilistic temperature forecast? Is it the case that most of the benefit of using an ensemble forecast to predict temperatures comes from the ensemble mean, or from the ensemble spread, or is the benefit derived equally from the two? The answer is that one of the two is much more useful than the other.
dc.identifierhttps://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0310059
dc.identifierhttp://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0310059
dc.identifier.urihttp://salesiana.dossiersoluciones.com/handle/123456789/85646
dc.subjectAtmospheric and Oceanic Physics
dc.titleComparing the ensemble mean and the ensemble standard deviation as inputs for probabilistic medium-range temperature forecasts
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