2026-07-072026-07-07http://salesiana.dossiersoluciones.com/handle/123456789/87277We present a simple method for the year-ahead prediction of the number of hurricanes making landfall in the US. The method is based on averages of historical annual hurricane numbers, and we perform a backtesting study to find the length of averaging window that would have given the best predictions in the past.Atmospheric and Oceanic Physicstext