Use of the likelihood for measuring the skill of probabilistic forecasts

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dc.creatorJewson, Stephen
dc.date2003-08-12
dc.date2004-01-08
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-07T05:49:52Z
dc.date.available2026-07-07T05:49:52Z
dc.descriptionWe define the likelihood and give a number of justifications for its use as a skill measure for probabilistic forecasts. We describe a number of different scores based on the likelihood, and briefly investigate the relationships between the likelihood, the mean square error and the ignorance.
dc.descriptionVersion 1 (3rd August 2003) contained some incorrect statements about the relationship between the likelihood and the Brier score. These have now been removed
dc.identifierhttps://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0308046
dc.identifierhttp://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0308046
dc.identifier.urihttp://salesiana.dossiersoluciones.com/handle/123456789/85539
dc.subjectAtmospheric and Oceanic Physics
dc.titleUse of the likelihood for measuring the skill of probabilistic forecasts
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